The Austrian School and the Meltdown
The financial meltdown the economists of the Austrian School
predicted has arrived.
We are in this crisis because of an excess of artificially
created credit at the hands of the Federal Reserve System. The
solution being proposed? More artificial credit by the Federal
Reserve. No liquidation of bad debt and malinvestment is to
be allowed. By doing more of the same, we will only continue
and intensify the distortions in our economy – all the
capital misallocation, all the malinvestment – and prevent
the market's attempt to re-establish rational pricing of houses
and other assets.
Last night the president addressed the nation about the financial
crisis. There is no point in going through his remarks line
by line, since I'd only be repeating what I've been saying over
and over – not just for the past several days, but for
years and even decades.
Still, at least a few observations are necessary.
(Article continues below)
The president assures us that his administration "is working
with Congress to address the root cause behind much of the instability
in our markets." Care to take a guess at whether the Federal
Reserve and its money creation spree were even mentioned?
We are told that "low interest rates" led to excessive
borrowing, but we are not told how these low interest rates
came about. They were a deliberate policy of the Federal Reserve.
As always, artificially low interest rates distort the market.
Entrepreneurs engage in malinvestments – investments that
do not make sense in light of current resource availability,
that occur in more temporally remote stages of the capital structure
than the pattern of consumer demand can support, and that would
not have been made at all if the interest rate had been permitted
to tell the truth instead of being toyed with by the Fed.
Not a word about any of that, of course, because Americans
might then discover how the great wise men in Washington caused
this great debacle. Better to keep scapegoating the mortgage
industry or "wildcat capitalism" (as if we actually
have a pure free market!).
Speaking about Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, the president said:
"Because these companies were chartered by Congress, many
believed they were guaranteed by the federal government. This
allowed them to borrow enormous sums of money, fuel the market
for questionable investments, and put our financial system at
risk."
Doesn't that prove the foolishness of chartering Fannie and
Freddie in the first place? Doesn't that suggest that maybe,
just maybe, government may have contributed to this mess? And
of course, by bailing out Fannie and Freddie, hasn't the federal
government shown that the "many" who "believed
they were guaranteed by the federal government" were in
fact correct?
Then come the scare tactics. If we don't give dictatorial powers
to the Treasury Secretary "the stock market would drop
even more, which would reduce the value of your retirement account.
The value of your home could plummet." Left unsaid, naturally,
is that with the bailout and all the money and credit that must
be produced out of thin air to fund it, the value of your retirement
account will drop anyway, because the value of the dollar will
suffer a precipitous decline. As for home prices, they are obviously
much too high, and supply and demand cannot equilibrate if government
insists on propping them up.
It's the same destructive strategy that government tried during
the Great Depression: prop up prices all costs. The Depression
went on for over a decade. On the other hand, when liquidation
was allowed to occur in the equally devastating downturn of
1921, the economy recovered within less than a year.
The president also tells us that Senators McCain and Obama
will join him at the White House today in order to figure out
how to get the bipartisan bailout passed. The two senators would
do their country much more good if they stayed on the campaign
trail debating which one wears a larger flag pin, or whatever
it is that occupies their attention these days.
F.A. Hayek won the Nobel Prize for showing how central banks'
manipulation of interest rates creates the boom-bust cycle with
which we are sadly familiar. In 1932, in the depths of the Great
Depression, he described the foolish policies being pursued
in his day – and which are being proposed, just as destructively,
in our own:
The only thing we learn from history, I am afraid, is that
we do not learn from history.
The very people who have spent the past several years assuring
us that the economy is fundamentally sound, and who themselves
foolishly cheered the extension of all these novel kinds of
mortgages, are the ones who now claim to be the experts who
will restore prosperity! Just how spectacularly wrong, how utterly
without a clue, does someone have to be before his expert status
is called into question?
Oh, and did you notice that the bailout is now being called
a "rescue plan"? I guess "bailout" wasn't
sitting too well with the American people.
The very people who with somber faces tell us of their deep
concern for the spread of democracy around the world are the
ones most insistent on forcing a bill through Congress that
the American people overwhelmingly oppose. The very fact that
some of you seem to think you're supposed to have a voice in
all this actually seems to annoy them.
I continue to urge you to contact your representatives and
give them a piece of your mind. I myself am doing everything
I can to promote the correct point of view on the crisis. Be
sure also to educate yourselves on these subjects – the
Campaign for Liberty blog is an excellent place to start. Read
the posts, ask questions in the comment section, and learn.
H.G. Wells once said that civilization was in a race between
education and catastrophe. Let us learn the truth and spread
it as far and wide as our circumstances allow. For the truth
is the greatest weapon we have.