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Bush Approval Rating Falls to 28%, Lowest Level So Far, in Harris Poll

THE WALL STREET JOURNAL
Friday April 27, 2007 

President Bush's approval rating slipped to new lows in the most recent Harris Interactive survey, but he's not alone: For the first time since the series began, all of the political figures and institutions included in the survey have negative performance ratings.

Of the 1,001 American adults polled online April 20-23, only 28% had a positive view of Mr. Bush's job performance, down from 32% in February and from a high of 88% in the aftermath of the terror attacks of Sept. 11, 2001. The current rating is his weakest showing since his inauguration.

Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice garnered the approval of 45% of those surveyed, down from 46% in February, and approval of Defense Secretary Robert Gates slid to 29% in the latest poll, from 32% in February.

Among other individuals included in the poll, House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D., Calif.) saw her approval rating fall to 30% in April from 38% in February, shortly after her swearing-in as the first female House speaker. Approval for Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid (D., Nev.) slipped to 22%, from 23% in February but up from 19% a year ago.

Those polled gave Congress an approval rating of 27%, with the Democrats as a group pulling in 35% approval, compared with 22% for Republicans.

When asked which two issues the government should address first, 30% of poll respondents said the war and 13% said Iraq. Domestic concerns rounded out the top spots, with 15% of those polled mentioning health care and 10% pointing to the economy.

Here are full results of the poll:

Current ratings of president, senior cabinet members and parties in Congress

"How would you rate the job (READ ITEM) are/is doing – excellent, pretty good, only fair, or poor?"

Base: All adults

  Excellent Pretty Good Only Fair Poor Not Sure Positive* Negative**
  % % % % % % %
Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice 12 33 29 21 6 45 50
President George W. Bush 7 22 22 48 2 28 70
Democrats in Congress 5 29 34 24 7 35 58
House Speaker Nancy Pelosi 5 25 33 23 14 30 56
Vice President Dick Cheney 5 20 25 44 7 25 68
Defense Secretary Robert Gates 4 25 36 19 16 29 55
Congress 3 24 43 27 4 27 69
Republicans in Congress 3 20 41 33 4 22 74
Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid 2 19 35 17 26 22 52

*Positive = excellent or pretty good
**Negative = only fair or poor

Positive ratings: Trends since 9/11/01: Summary

Base: All adults

POSITIVE RATINGS Soon After 9/11 Feb. 2003 April 2003 Feb. 2004 April 2004 Nov. 2004 Feb. 2005 April 2005 Nov. 2005 Mar. 2006 May 2006 Sept. 2006 Feb. 2007 April 2007
  % % % % % % % % % % % % % %
President George W. Bush 88 52 70 51 48 50 48 44 34 36 29 38 32 28
Vice President Dick Cheney 69 45 55 41 36 48 45 37 30 30 ** 30 29 25
Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice ** ** ** ** ** ** 52 54 52 51 ** 55 46 45

**Not applicable. The question was not asked.

President Bush's Overall Job Rating

Not Sure's Excluded

"How would you rate the overall job President George W. Bush is doing as president – excellent, pretty good, only fair, or poor?"

Base: All adults

  TREND Positive* Negative**
    % %
2007 April 28 70
  February 32 67
2006 November 31 67
  October (10/25) 34 63
  October (10/13) 34 64
  September 38 61
  August (8/24) 34 65
  August (8/11) 34 66
  July 34 65
  June 33 67
  May 29 71
  April 35 63
  March 36 64
  February 40 58
  January 43 56
2005 November 34 65
  August 40 58
  June 45 55
  April 44 56
  February 48 51
2004 November 50 49
  October 51 49
  September 45 54
  August 48 51
  June 50 49
  April 48 51
  February 51 48
2003 December 50 49
  October 59 40
  August 57 41
  June 61 36
  April 70 29
  February 52 46
2002 December 64 35
  November 65 33
  October 64 35
  August 63 37
  May 74 25
  April 75 23
  February 79 20
  January 79 19
2001 December 82 17
  November 86 12
  October 88 11
  August 52 43
  June 50 46
  May 59 35
  March 49 38
  February 56 26

*Positive = excellent or pretty good
**Negative = only fair or poor

Ratings of Vice President Dick Cheney

Not Sure's Excluded

"And how would you rate the job Vice President Cheney is doing – excellent, pretty good, only fair or poor?"

Base: All adults

  TREND Positive* Negative**
    % %
2007 April 25 68
  February 29 67
2006 September 30 64
  June 31 65
  March 30 67
2005 November 30 65
  August 35 60
  June 38 56
  April 37 60
  February 45 52
2004 November 48 50
  October 47 51
  August 40 54
  June 42 49
  April 36 52
  February 41 48
2003 December 42 47
  October 42 44
  August 42 45
  June 49 40
  April 55 36
  February 45 44
2002 December 50 37
  November 52 39
  October 54 37
  September 52 37
  August 45 43
  June 55 34
  April 55 31
  March 59 29
  February 57 31
  January 55 31
2001 October 69 20
  July 39 52

*Positive = excellent or pretty good
**Negative = only fair or poor

Ratings of Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice

Not Sure's Excluded

"And how would you rate the job Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice is doing – excellent, pretty good, only fair or poor?"

Base: All adults

  TREND Positive* Negative**
    % %
2007 April 45 50
  February 46 48
2006 September 55 42
  June 52 43
  March 51 44
2005 November 52 41
  August 57 37
  June 52 41
  April 54 39
  February 52 40

*Positive = excellent or pretty good
**Negative = only fair or poor

Ratings of Secretary of Defense Robert Gates

Not Sure's Excluded

"And how would you rate the job Secretary of Defense Robert Gates is doing – excellent, pretty good, only fair or poor?"

Base: All adults

  TREND Positive* Negative**
    % %
2007 April 29 55
  February 32 52

*Positive = excellent or pretty good
**Negative = only fair or poor

Ratings of House Speaker Nancy Pelosi

Not Sure's Excluded

"And how would you rate the job House Speaker Nancy Pelosi is doing – excellent, pretty good, only fair or poor?"

Base: All adults

  TREND Positive* Negative**
    % %
2007 April 30 56
  February 38 45

*Positive = excellent or pretty good.

**Negative = only fair or poor.

Ratings of Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid

Not Sure's Excluded

"And how would you rate the job Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid is doing – excellent, pretty good, only fair or poor?"

Base: All adults

  TREND Positive* Negative**
    % %
2007 April 22 52
  February 23 47
2006 September 23 52
  June 19 54
  March 19 53
2005 August 24 47

Prior to February, 2007, Sen. Reid was the Senate Minority Leader
*Positive = excellent or pretty good.
**Negative = only fair or poor

Congress's Overall Job Rating

Not Sure's Excluded

"How would you rate the overall job the Congress is doing – excellent, pretty good, only fair, or poor?"

Base: All adults

  TREND Positive* Negative**
    % %
2007 April 27 69
  February 33 62
2006 September 24 73
  May 18 80
  February 25 71
  January 25 72

*Positive = excellent or pretty good.
**Negative = only fair or poor.

Ratings of Republicans in Congress

Not Sure's Excluded

"And how would you rate the job Republicans in Congress are doing – excellent, pretty good, only fair or poor?"

Base: All adults

  TREND Positive* Negative**
    % %
2007 April 22 74
  February 26 69
2006 November 24 72
  September 24 71
  June 25 72
  May 20 76
  March 27 68
2005 November 27 69
  August 32 64
  June 37 58
  April 36 61
2004 September 38 56
  August 40 54
  June 39 53
  April 35 55
  February 40 52
2003 December 37 51
  October 40 50
  August 41 51
  June 45 47
  April 52 41
  February 43 49
2002 December 47 47
  November 47 45
  October 46 45
  September 47 42
  August 41 49
  June 46 45
  April 49 39
  February 50 40
  January 58 34
2001 October (high) 67 24
  August (low) 37 52
2000 May (low) 33 60
  February (high) 38 55
1999 October (low) 32 58
  September (high) 39 55
1998 June (low) 31 62
  February (high) 44 53
1997 June (low) 31 67
  February (high) 38 58
1996 May (low) 29 69
  January (high) 33 66
1995 November (low) 35 63
  April (high) 42 56

*Positive = excellent or pretty good.
**Negative = only fair or poor.

Ratings of Democrats in Congress

Not Sure's Excluded

"And how would you rate the job Democrats in Congress are doing – excellent, pretty good, only fair or poor?"

Base: All adults

  TREND Positive* Negative**
    % %
2007 April 35 58
  February 41 52
2006 November 36 57
  September 29 67
  June 26 70
  May 23 72
  March 24 70
2005 November 25 70
  August 31 65
  June 33 61
  April 34 64
2004 September 34 60
  August 35 58
  June 31 59
  April 32 57
  February 33 58
2003 December 28 61
  October 34 56
  August 30 60
  June 41 51
  April 39 52
  February 38 54
2002 December 36 55
  November 40 52
  October 40 52
  September 42 49
  August 38 54
  June 45 46
  April 47 42
  February 49 41
  January 52 40
2001 October (high) 68 24
  May (low) 40 51
2000 September (high) 48 44
  June (low) 38 52
1999 October (low) 42 50
  January (high) 50 47
1998 September (high) 49 47
  June (low) 41 53
1997 June (low) 36 60
  February (high) 43 54
1996 May (high) 36 62
  January (low) 31 68
1995 November (high) 34 64
  July (low) 30 66
1994 December 28 70

*Positive = excellent or pretty good.
**Negative = only fair or poor.

Right Direction or Wrong Track

No Opinion's, Not Sure's and Decline to Answer's Excluded

"Generally speaking, would you say things in the country are going in the right direction or have they pretty seriously gotten off on the wrong track?"

Base: All adults

  TREND Right Direction Wrong Track
    % %
2007 April 26 67
  February 29 62
2006 November 31 58
  October (10/25) 27 63
  October (10/13) 29 62
  September 31 59
  August 26 64
  July 28 61
  June 28 64
  May 24 69
  April 27 65
  March 31 60
  February 32 59
  January 33 54
2005 November 27 68
  August 37 59
  June 38 55
  January 46 48
2004 September 38 57
  June 35 59
2003 December 35 57
  June 44 51
2002 December 36 57
  June 46 48
2001 December 65 32
  June 43 52
  January 46 39
2000 October 50 41
  June 40 51
  January 50 38
1999 June 37 55
  March 47 45
1998 December 43 51
  June 48 44
1997 December 39 56
  April 36 55
1996 December 38 50
  June 29 64
1995 December 26 62
  June 24 65
1994 December 29 63
  June 28 65

Most Important Issues for Government to Address

"What do you think are the two most important issues for the government to address?"

Spontaneous, unprompted replies

Base: All Adults

  '96 '97 '98 '99 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '06 '06 '06 '06 '07 '07
  April May Jan Feb Aug Dec Dec June Oct Aug Feb June Aug Oct Nov Feb April
  % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % %
(The) war X X X X X 12 18 8 35 41 27 27 28 29 33 29 30
Healthcare (not Medicare) 16 10 11 12 15 5 10 14 18 11 20 12 12 13 15 12 15
Iraq / (Saddam Hussein) * * * 1 - - 11 3 9 6 5 8 7 8 10 10 13
The economy (non-specific) 14 8 9 7 5 32 34 25 28 19 15 14 16 15 12 9 10
Education 14 15 14 21 25 12 11 13 7 8 8 7 8 9 7 7 9
Immigration 2 2 1 * 1 1 1 2 2 3 5 20 10 12 11 7 9
Crime/violence 16 19 13 8 10 1 2 3 1 3 1 2 3 2 2 2 6
Terrorism X X X X X 22 17 11 7 7 6 4 9 7 3 9 5
Taxes 11 14 16 12 13 6 5 11 8 5 6 4 4 5 5 7 5
Employment/jobs 9 5 3 4 4 7 8 8 10 3 5 7 6 6 7 4 5
Environment 1 3 2 3 3 1 3 2 1 3 2 3 2 2 2 4 4
Foreign policy (non-specific) 3 3 5 4 3 2 4 2 3 2 3 2 2 3 2 4 4
Social Security X 6 6 24 16 3 2 4 4 10 7 5 2 5 4 3 4
Military/defense 1 2 2 2 4 4 1 5 3 1 3 4 3 3 3 3 3
Gas and oil prices X X X X X X X 1 1 10 2 8 8 4 1 1 3
Second Amendment (right to bear arms) X X * * * * X * * * * * * * * * 2
Religion (decline of) * * 1 * 1 2 1 1 1 * * 1 1 1 1 2 2
Domestic/social issues (non-specific) 4 2 3 2 2 2 2 1 2 2 * 3 1 * 1 1 2
Homeland/domestic security/public safety X X X X X 8 9 3 6 2 3 2 4 3 2 3 2
School safety X X X X X X X 2 * 1 1 1 1 * * * 2
Energy X X X X X X X 1 1 4 4 4 4 2 1 2 2
Budget/Government spending X X X X X X X X X X X 5 2 3 3 5 2
Drugs 4 8 6 2 5 2 3 3 * 2 1 1 2 1 1 3 2
(Programs for) the poor/ poverty 2 3 2 2 3 1 2 3 * 4 5 4 3 5 3 2 2
Medicare 3 4 5 5 6 1 1 4 3 2 5 1 1 2 3 1 2
Abortion 4 2 2 2 6 1 1 1 4 2 1 1 1 2 1 1 2
Peace/world peace/nuclear arms 3 1 3 3 1 2 2 3 * 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 1
Welfare 13 14 8 4 2 1 1 3 * 3 1 1 X 1 1 1 1
Family values (decline of) 2 2 1 2 1 * * 1 1 1 * 1 1 1 1 1 1
Election/Voter reform X X X X X X 1 1 * 1 1 * 1 * * 2 1
Bush/president x x x x X X x x X x 1 X * 1 x * 1
Downsizing government X X X X 1 * X X 1 * * 1 * * * 1 1
AIDS 1 * 1 X * * * 2 X * * * 1 * * 2 1
National security X X X 2 2 6 3 6 5 2 2 2 3 2 2 2 1
Homelessness 3 4 4 3 3 2 2 1 * 1 1 1 2 1 1 2 1
Human/civil/women's rights 2 2 1 * 1 1 1 * 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 1
Ethics in government * * * * * 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 * 1
Inflation X X X X X X X X X 1 1 2 1 1 2 2 1
Judicial/Legal Issues X X X X X X X X * 2 1 1 * * 1 1 1
Honesty/Integrity/Moral Values X X X X X X X X 2 2 * 1 1 1 * 1 *
Middle East peace process between Palestinians and Israel X X X X X 2 2 2 * 1 1 * 1 * 1 * *
FEMA X X X X X X X X X X * * 1 X X * *
Disaster relief/Hurricane Relief X X X X X X X X X X 1 1 * * * 1 *
Same sex rights X X X X X X X X 1 1 * 2 * 1 * 1 *
Medical research X X X X X X X 2 2 1 2 * 1 * 1 1 *
Air Travel Safety - - - - - 1 * * X * X * 1 X * * *
Other** 7 8 19 2 19 3 8 8 8 1 5 6 5 8 8 6 6
Not sure/refused/no issue 7 9 12 16 18 11 10 12 9 8 6 6 6 10 9 9 8

*Less than 0.5%, X = Not mentioned as specific issue
**Including government/politics (nonspecific), housing, Foreign Aid, trade, disability, promoting democracy, race relations, campaign finance, youth and programs for the elderly (not Medicare/Social Security)
Note: The August column refers to the August 24th release

Methodology: This Harris Poll was conducted online among 1,001 adults April 20-23. Figures for age, sex, race/ethnicity, education, region and household income were weighted where necessary to bring them into line with their actual proportions in the population. Propensity score weighting was also used to adjust for respondents' propensity to be online. In theory, with a sample of this size, one can say with a 95% probability that the overall results have a sampling error of +/-3 percentage points.

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