The wars in Iraq and Afghanistan ended some years ago. In
Iraq, the war ended with the fall of Saddam Hussein's government;
in Afghanistan, with the fall of the Taliban government. What's
been happening since is occupation and resistance to occupation.
It's always helpful to call things by the right name. One
of the ways using the wrong word can trip us is illustrated
by John McCain's campaign theme. We have to win the war in
Iraq, he keeps saying. Ending a war implies either winning
or losing. No such baggage is attached to an occupation. You
can end an occupation without either winning or losing. You
just withdraw your troops.
The fact that what is going on in Iraq is an occupation is
proven by the nature of the conflicts. They are between factions
of Iraqis. Our guys are caught in the crossfire or killed
by Iraqis who oppose our presence. There are no large-scale
attacks directed against us.
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Those who want to continue the occupation paint a horrific
picture of what they claim will happen if we withdraw –
a massive civil war, genocide or a regional war. There is
no hard evidence to support any of those suppositions. But
even if they happen, they need not concern us. Lots of factions
in different parts of the world decide to kill each other
from time to time, and we don't interfere. As long as there
are no Americans to get caught in the crossfire, let the Iraqis
have their civil war if that's what they want.
On the other hand, there's never been civil war in Iraq.
There were rebellions against the Baathist government and,
before that, against the British-sponsored governments, but
before our occupation, Sunnis and Shia intermarried and lived
side by side. There were always Christians in Iraq and, until
the state of Israel was created, Jews. That was, in fact,
true throughout the Middle East.
As for al-Qaeda, it has been virtually wiped out in Iraq
– not by us, but by Sunni tribesmen who turned against
it because of its murderous fanaticism. McCain keeps confusing
al-Qaeda with Shia and trying to link it to Iran, but al-Qaeda
is a fundamentalist Sunni group way outside the mainstream
of Islam. Most of its members are Saudis or Egyptians. It
was never in Iraq until our war and occupation gave it an
excuse to come in. It's never been in Iran. For American politicians
to suppose that without us it would thrive and grow in Iraq
is just proof of their ignorance.
Our presence in Iraq is the only thing that made al-Qaeda
viable. Our occupation of Iraq and Afghanistan are the principal
selling points in al-Qaeda propaganda. We have no interests,
strategic or otherwise, in either country. The last thing
al-Qaeda wants is for us to withdraw, which is why it should
be the first thing we do.
Whatever someone imagines we gain by staying in Iraq and
Afghanistan is far outweighed by what we are losing. We are
losing lives in dribs and drabs, and we are losing treasure
at an alarming rate. We have severe internal problems that
our military presence in the Middle East aggravates. Our military
is on the verge of being broken. Some Nobel laureates estimate
the war will end up costing us $3 trillion. Well, plain and
simple, we can't afford it.
We should never go to war unless there are tangible, identifiable
benefits for the American people for doing so. Try to think
of a benefit we have gained from Iraq or Afghanistan. There
are none. We deposed two governments that were not attacking
us or threatening to attack us, and we let get away the private
terrorist group that had attacked us. It does not matter that
they were bad governments. There are lots of bad governments
in this world. The only bad government we have an obligation
to change is the one in Washington, D.C.
If we don't change direction in this country, we're going
to end up impoverished and bankrupt, and you know what? Iraq
and Afghanistan will still be the messes they are today.