Russia is steadily "unravelling" the historic arms
control treaties that ended the Cold War and became cornerstones
of European security, the most comprehensive survey of global
military trends said yesterday.
The Military Balance 2008 portrays Russia as breaking out of
the constraints imposed by treaties once considered inviolable.
John Chipman, the head of the International Institute for Strategic
Studies, which published the survey, said the "next target
of Moscow’s assertive revisionism" could be the Intermediate
Nuclear Forces (INF) Treaty of 1987.
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This crucial agreement, signed by President Ronald Reagan and
Mikhail Gorbachev, eliminated medium-range nuclear missiles
in Europe.
President Vladimir Putin has already stopped adhering to the
Conventional Forces in Europe Treaty (CFE), which came into
force in 1992 and restricts the deployment of troops and tanks
near sensitive European frontiers.
Later this year, Russia is expected to formally withdraw from
the CFE treaty.
Taken together, these steps would allow Russia to build a new
generation of medium-range nuclear missiles capable of striking
Western Europe.
Its armed forces would also be free to deploy near any European
country bordering Russia.
"The end of the CFE treaty, the cornerstone of post-Cold
War European security, could have negative consequences for
Europe," said Mr Chipman.
"It will abolish an important confidence-building mechanism
— including the exchange of data and an inspection regime
— and introduce new tensions between Russia and its neighbours,
particularly if Russia decides to redeploy its troops closer
to Nato member states."
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