Yesterday was a difficult day for Veteran Intelligence Professionals
for Sanity. It was hard to celebrate the fifth anniversary of
our first corporate memorandum, a same-day critique of Colin
Powell's Feb. 5, 2002 UN address, when we could not escape the
reality that this speech greased the skids for death and destruction
in Iraq and brought unprecedented shame on our country. We found
no solace in the realization that those who saw our analysis
should have seen disaster coming.
A handful of former CIA intelligence officers joined me in
forming the VIPS movement in Jan. 2002, after we concluded that
our profession had been corrupted to "justify" what
was, pure and simple, a war of aggression. Little did we know
at the time that a month later Colin Powell, with then-CIA Director
George Tenet plumped down conspicuously behind him, would provide
the world with a textbook example of careerism and cowardice
in cooking intelligence to the recipe of his master.
Powell's Prior Practice
It was hardly Powell's first display of such behavior.
Those able to look past the medals and ribbons have been able
to trace a pattern of malleability back to Powell's early days
as a young Army officer in Vietnam, and then in the 1980s as
an Iran-Contra accomplice together with his boss Casper Weinberger,
then secretary of defense. Weinberger was indicted for perjury
but escaped trial when pardoned by George H. W. Bush on Christmas
Eve 1992. [See Chapter 8 of Robert Parry's new book, Neck Deep:
The Disastrous Presidency of George W. Bush, for more on Powell's
proclivity to pander.]
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A year before his UN speech Powell winked at the introduction
of torture into the Army's repertoire, rather than confront
President George W. Bush personally on the pressure that Vice
President Dick Cheney was exerting to conjure up legal wiggle-room
for torture. Instead, Powell merely asked State Department lawyers
to engage White House lawyers Alberto Gonzales and Cheney-favorite
David Addington, in what Powell knew would be-absent his personal
involvement- a quixotic effort.
Powell's lawyers put in writing his concern that making an
end-run around the Geneva protections for prisoners of war "could
undermine U.S. military culture which emphasizes maintaining
the highest standards of conduct in combat, and could introduce
an element of uncertainty in the status of adversaries."
Well, he got that right.
But when Gonzales and Addington simply declared parts of Geneva
"quaint" and "obsolete," Powell caved, acquiescing
in the corruption of the Army to which he owed so much. We know
the next chapters of that story-Guantanamo and Abu Ghraib. Powell's
instincts were right, but he lacked the strength of his convictions.
It turns out that this key instance of abject obeisance-important
as it was in its own right-was just practice for the super bowl
at the UN.
VIPS' Maiden Effort
When those of us in our fledgling VIPS movement learned that
Powell would address the UN on Feb. 5, 2003, we decided to do
a same-day analytic assessment-the kind we used to do when someone
like Khrushchev, or Gorbachev, or Gromyko, or Mao Tse-dung,
or Castro gave a major address. We were well accustomed to the
imperative to beat the media with our commentary. Coordinating
our Powell draft via email, at 5:15 p.m. we issued VIPS' first
Memorandum for the President: "Subject: Today's Speech
by Secretary Powell at the UN."
Our understanding at that time was far from perfect. It was
not yet completely clear to us, for example, that Saddam Hussein
had for the most part been abiding by, rather than flouting,
UN resolutions. We stressed, though, that the key question was
whether any of this justified war:
"This is the question the world is asking. Secretary Powell's
presentation does not come close to answering it."
We warned the president of the "politicization of intelligence"
and the deep analytical flaws that inevitably follow, for example:
Dissociating VIPS from Powell's bravado claim that the evidence
he presented was "irrefutable," we noted that no one
has a corner on the truth and ended our memo for President Bush
with this observation:
Senator Clinton Knew
Five years later, we take no pleasure at having been right;
we take considerable pain at having been ignored. The impending
debacle was a no-brainer, and serious specialists like former
UN inspector Scott Ritter, to his credit, were shouting it from
the rooftops.
What follows is more than a mere footnote. It is not widely
known that our Feb. 5, 2003 memorandum analyzing Powell's speech
was shared with the junior senator from New York. Thus, she
still had plenty of time to raise her voice before the Bush
administration launched the fateful attack on Iraq on March
19.