The White House is in full-panic mode. In fact, the falling
stock market has the administration so worried that they've
concocted a “stimulus package” to rev-up flagging
consumer spending and keep the economy on life-support.
The desperation is palpable. Fed chairman Ben Bernanke's
appearance on Capital Hill last Thursday turned out to be
a total bust. Bernanke was supposed to calm jittery investors
with promises of rates cuts and easy credit but, instead,
his gloomy predictions put the Dow Jones into a 306-point
tailspin. Now it's up to Bush to try to restore confidence
in Wall Street and allay the growing fears of a recession.
Since we first reported on the proposed “stimulus package”
(Bush's Voodoo Stimulus Package), the size of the rebates
have increased dramatically. The Democratic-led Congress was
only calling for $250 per taxpayer or $500 per married couple,
but under the White House plan, taxpayers could receive rebates
of up to $800 per individual or $1,600 per couple. The rebates
will accompanied by additional cuts to the Fed Funds rate
(estimated 50 basis points) which will provide more liquidity
to the banking system and easier credit for consumers.
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The administration's desperate actions should remove any
lingering doubt that the main problem facing the economy is
inflation. It's not. The moves are intended to forestall a
deflationary spiral that is the natural corollary of seven
years of intensive neoliberal policies. Ironically, now that
Bush has achieved his goal of crushing the middle class and
destroying the foundation of America's consumer-based economy;
he has decided to change directions and shower those same
overextended workers and subprime homeowners with a $150 billion
gift from the government. So, what gives?
The real reason for the multi-billion dollar stimulus bailout
is that the banking system is no longer able to fulfill its
primary function as the conduit for consumer credit. As a
result of the meltdown in "structured finance,"
which has left many of the country's major banks with hundreds
of billions of dollars in losses, the banks have been forced
to tighten lending standards and screen out any loan applicant
without spotless credit. This, in turn, has slowed credit
expansion to a crawl. At the same time, the US consumer, who
accounts for 72 percent of GDP, has gone into a spending funk
due to his unsustainable debt load (credit cards, car payments,
student loans, and mortgages) and an unprecedented lack of
personal savings. The combination of sagging consumer spending
and a banking system that is gunked up with billions of dollars
of structured slime, has put the economy into a deflationary
nosedive. The stimulus package is not an expression of generosity.
No, no. It is simply the lubricant that is required to gets
the gears (you and me) of the consumer apparatus working properly.
If there were any way the administration could avoid handing
out rebates and simply round us all up and march us into Halliburton
detention camps, you can bet they'd do it in a flash. But
they can't.
The negotiations on the stimulus package have given the Democrats
their first victory over Bush. The president has agreed “not
to push for a permanent extension of his 2001 and 2003 tax
cuts” as part of the bailout plan. Whoopee. Unfortunately,
the Dems don't seem to grasp how dire the predicament is or
they would have asked for much more. Bush would have given
them anything they wanted. For example, they could have made
the rebates contingent on troop withdrawals from Iraq or the
closing Guantanamo Bay. Instead, the Dems made no demands
at all and blew another golden opportunity to force Bush to
change his extremist policies.
Earlier last Thursday, Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson emphasized
the urgency of the situation on CBS's “The Early Show”
saying: “What President Bush believes is that we've
got to do something that is robust. It's going to be temporary
and get money into the economy quickly. It's going to be focused
on consumers, individuals, families -- putting money in their
pocket. And it's going to be focused on giving businesses
the incentive to hire people, to create jobs."
Can you sense the panic?
It's funny in a way. The Bush administration had been warned
repeatedly about the disastrous effects of their supply-side
theories, but they just shrugged it off and carried on with
the plundering. Now consumer spending is drying up, unemployment
is rising, manufacturing is down, foreclosures are soaring,
and the Bush troupe is running in circles trying to find a
way to stop the bleeding. Good luck.
Remember the $2 trillion wars (Iraq and Afghanistan) that
could be paid for with “unfunded” tax cuts to
the rich?
Remember the cuts to capital gains and corporate taxes that
were supposed to “trickle down” to working class
Americans creating more jobs and making us all more prosperous?
Remember the low interest rates that were supposed to create
Bush's “ownership society” that, in fact, generated
the greatest speculative frenzy in real estate in American
history?
Remember Dick Cheney's brusque assurance that “deficits
don't matter”?
Remember the myriad corporate giveaways, the lavish “no
bid” contracts, and deregulated subprime shenanigans
that were supposed to “grow the economy” and strengthen
our markets?
The system is failing because it was designed to fail. The
impending economic crisis is no accident, but the predictable
outcome of deeply flawed policies that are pushing the country
towards a 1930s-type catastrophe.
Still, even disaster has its brighter side; like watching
the most reviled, least credible president in American history
try to stop a crashing market with his miserable offer of
“cash rebates."