Reforms often do more harm than good. This is currently the
case with the “mark-to-market” rule, which is
imploding the US financial system by requiring financial institutions
to value subprime mortgages at their current market values.
This makes a big problem for balance sheets. These financial
instruments became troubled prior to a market being established
for them, as they were marketed direct from issuers to investors.
Now that they are troubled and with their true values unknown,
no one wants them. Their lack of liquidity assigns them a
low value.
The result is tremendous pressure on balance sheets. The
plummeting value of subprime derivatives is pushing institutions
that own them into insolvency, destroying their own stock
values and forcing the financial institutions to sell untroubled
liquid assets, thus resulting in an overall decline in the
stock market.
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The solution is to suspend the mark-to-market rule. Instead,
allow financial institutions to keep the troubled instruments
at book value, or 85-90% of book value, until a market forms
that can sort out values, and allow financial institutions
to write down the subprime mortgages and other troubled instruments
over time.
Suspending the mark-to-market rule would take pressure off
the stock market and make it unnecessary for the Fed to lower
interest rates in an effort to force liquidity into the economy
through an impaired banking system. The problem is not a general
lack of liquidity, but liquidity for poorly conceived new
financial instruments. Low US interest rates could worsen
the crisis by accelerating the dollar’s decline. Now
that inflation has raised its head, more liquidity from the
Fed adds to the economic distress.
It is mindless to allow a “reform” to cause a
financial crisis, but that is what is happening. Unfortunately,
there are people who argue that anything less than financial
armageddon would create a “moral hazard.”
It is certainly true that securitized subprime mortgage instruments
were a bad idea, that a lot of people who should have known
better opened floodgates to greed and fraud, and that “somebody
should pay.” But it shouldn’t be the general public
and the economy that pays.
It is also true that without the Federal Reserve’s
irresponsible low interest rate monetary policy, which produced
a housing boom, the subprime instruments would not have been
created, or at least not in such amounts. Rapidly rising real
estate prices were expected to make the risky loans good.
What were issuers and the Federal Reserve thinking?
No doubt but that greed, fraud, and bad policy all played
their roles. But at the heart of the problem is a 1999 “reform”
that repealed an earlier reform known as the Glass-Steagall
Act.
In 1933 the Glass-Steagall Act separated commercial banking
from the securities business. It prevented securities speculation
from destroying bank capital and shrinking bank deposits from
bank failures and runs on banks by depositors. Congress and
President Bill Clinton foolishly repealed the Glass-Steagall
Act in 1999.
The repeal of the 1933 law was driven by profit lust in the
banking industry and by “free market” ideology,
which claims the unfettered marketplace is always superior
to regulation. In pushing the repeal forward, Congress and
Clinton ignored warnings from the General Accounting Office
that the banks needed to build up their capital levels before
being permitted to enter a broad range of securities businesses.
The GAO also noted that there were no regulatory structures
in place to monitor the new financial networks that would
result from removing the wall between commercial and investment
banking.
However, greed and ideology won over sound advice. The result
is a crisis that, if mishandled, will be calamitous.
Full
article here.