Sen. Hillary Clinton's presidential campaign claims to have
a secret weapon up their sleeve.
According to a report Sunday, Clinton's campaign could force
the Democratic National Committee to seat Florida and Michigan,
thereby potentially giving her the votes she needs to secure
the Democratic nomination.
The climate, however, doesn't appear to be ripe. Campaign
strategists tell Thomas Edsall of the Huffington Post that
"any attempt to deploy it would require a sharp (and
by no means inevitable) shift in the political climate within
Democratic circles by the end of this month."
This "nuclear option" -- the same term applied
to a Republican effort in the Senate to destroy the chamber's
filibuster -- would likely cause chaos among the party, particularly
among activists.
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Because Clinton has 50 percent of the party's Rules and Bylaws
committee committed to her campaign, Edsall says, her backers
could try to quickly pass a motion that would seat Florida's
210 and Michigan's 156 delegates. This would give Clinton
some 55 more delegates than Obama.
At present, Clinton likely can't catch up in sheer delegates
without those two states.
Trouble is, the Democratic party sidelined the states because
they broke Democratic National Committee rules, holding their
primaries ahead of their scheduled slots. Clinton also violated
a promise not to campaign in Florida, giving her a potentially
unfair edge.
"Using the Rules and Bylaws Committee to force the seating
of two pro-Hillary delegations would provoke a massive outcry
from Obama forces," Edsall writes. "First... Clinton
would have to win Indiana and lose North Carolina by a very
small margin. Second... she would have to rapidly gain traction,
not only within the media, where she has experienced some
success, but within the broad activist ranks of the Democratic
Party."
Given these conditions, Clinton strategists claim she could
overcome "stumbling blocks," including persuading
her loyalists on the Rules Committee to back her without jeopardizing
their future political careers.
If the Rules Committee backed Clinton, Obama could appeal
to the Credentials Committee. While the committee has yet
to be formed, "the pattern of Clinton and Obama victories
so far clearly suggests that Obama delegates on that committee
will outnumber Clinton delegates," Edsall notes, "though
Obama will not, however, have a majority, according to most
estimates, and the balance of power will be held by delegates
appointed by DNC chair Howard Dean."
Clinton hedges on convention question
In a discussion with women in North Carolina Saturday, however,
Clinton seemed to duck her previous assertion that she'd take
her fight all the way to the convention floor if Florida and
Michigan's delegates were not counted.
When asked if she would contest the nomination all the way
to the convention, according to ABC, she said, “Well,
I plan on going through the next contests -– West Virginia,
Kentucky and others.”
"This may indicate a possible shift in thinking about
how the rest of this campaign will play out, depending on
what happens in the North Carolina and Indiana primaries on
Tuesday," ABC notes.