Americans are glum at the moment. No, I mean really glum.
In April, a new poll revealed that 81 percent of the American
people believe that the country is on the "wrong track."
In the 25 years that pollsters have asked this question, last
month's response was by far the most negative. Other polls,
asking similar questions, found levels of gloom that were
even more alarming, often at 30- and 40-year highs. There
are reasons to be pessimistic—a financial panic and
looming recession, a seemingly endless war in Iraq, and the
ongoing threat of terrorism. But the facts on the ground—unemployment
numbers, foreclosure rates, deaths from terror attacks—are
simply not dire enough to explain the present atmosphere of
malaise.
American anxiety springs from something much deeper, a sense
that large and disruptive forces are coursing through the
world. In almost every industry, in every aspect of life,
it feels like the patterns of the past are being scrambled.
"Whirl is king, having driven out Zeus," wrote Aristophanes
2,400 years ago. And—for the first time in living memory—the
United States does not seem to be leading the charge. Americans
see that a new world is coming into being, but fear it is
one being shaped in distant lands and by foreign people.
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Look around. The world's tallest building is in Taipei, and
will soon be in Dubai. Its largest publicly traded company
is in Beijing. Its biggest refinery is being constructed in
India. Its largest passenger airplane is built in Europe.
The largest investment fund on the planet is in Abu Dhabi;
the biggest movie industry is Bollywood, not Hollywood. Once
quintessentially American icons have been usurped by the natives.
The largest Ferris wheel is in Singapore. The largest casino
is in Macao, which overtook Las Vegas in gambling revenues
last year. America no longer dominates even its favorite sport,
shopping. The Mall of America in Minnesota once boasted that
it was the largest shopping mall in the world. Today it wouldn't
make the top ten. In the most recent rankings, only two of
the world's ten richest people are American. These lists are
arbitrary and a bit silly, but consider that only ten years
ago, the United States would have serenely topped almost every
one of these categories.
These factoids reflect a seismic shift in power and attitudes.
It is one that I sense when I travel around the world. In
America, we are still debating the nature and extent of anti-Americanism.
One side says that the problem is real and worrying and that
we must woo the world back. The other says this is the inevitable
price of power and that many of these countries are envious—and
vaguely French—so we can safely ignore their griping.
But while we argue over why they hate us, "they"
have moved on, and are now far more interested in other, more
dynamic parts of the globe. The world has shifted from anti-Americanism
to post-Americanism.
I. The End of Pax Americana
During the 1980s, when I would visit India—where I grew
up—most Indians were fascinated by the United States.
Their interest, I have to confess, was not in the important
power players in Washington or the great intellectuals in
Cambridge.
People would often ask me about … Donald Trump. He
was the very symbol of the United States—brassy, rich,
and modern. He symbolized the feeling that if you wanted to
find the biggest and largest anything, you had to look to
America. Today, outside of entertainment figures, there is
no comparable interest in American personalities. If you wonder
why, read India's newspapers or watch its television. There
are dozens of Indian businessmen who are now wealthier than
the Donald. Indians are obsessed by their own vulgar real
estate billionaires. And that newfound interest in their own
story is being replicated across much of the world.
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