The dollar depreciated 4% in the first quarter against the
currencies of US trading partners according to the New York
Federal Reserve Bank's foreign exchange report released today.
The 4.0% decline is based on the Fed's major currencies index.
Against individual currencies, the biggest drops were against
the Japanese yen, -10.8% and the euro, -8.2% to a record low.
Appreciation of the Chinese yuan against the dollar 'accelerated
notably,' the report said, rising 3.9 pct for the first quarter
vs 2.8 pct in the fourth quarter.
The currencies index is based on a weighted average of the
foreign exchange values of the U.S. dollar against the currencies
of major U.S. trading partners. The index weights change over
time depending on export and import shares.
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Within the January-March period, the New York Fed's analysis
found three distinct periods of foreign exchange behavior.
First, during January and February, 'the trade-weighted exchange
value of the dollar remained largely range-bound, amid elevated
uncertainty about the relative growth prospects of the Group
of Three (G-3) economies, the US, Euro area and Japan,' the
report said.
Traders were afraid to place currency bets that could turn
into costly losses depending on how each of the three economies
performed and the dollar fell just 0.6% in this early period.
Then, from late February to mid-March, the dollar began to
plunge against both the euro and yen 'as credit market conditions
worsened and the belief that US economic growth would slow
relative to that of most other countries became more widespread.'
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