YOU'D think a record of dud predictions would shame Alarmist
of the Year Tim Flannery into silence. But, no.
It seems this professional fearmonger has learned instead that
global warming is a faith that grows on panic, not facts.
So, undaunted, Flannery this week amped up the hype to warn
that global warming was now so terrifying we may have to change
the colour of the sky.
As a "last barrier to climate collapse" we might
within the next five years have to fire the "gas"
sulphur (actually a solid) into the stratosphere to keep out
some of the sky's rays.
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There are obvious problems with his plan. First, Flannery concedes
"the consequences of doing that are unknown". Second,
some lousy consequences are known - for a start, sulphur is
an element in acid rain.
But third, global warming in fact halted in 1998 - a basic
point confirmed by almost all measuring bodies but not yet by
Flannery.
How Flannery gets away with such flummery has been a mystery
to me, but I blame in part our extraordinary groupthink (see
story above). For instance, while 31,000 scientists were happy
this week to sign a petition in the United States denying there
was convincing evidence that man's gases caused catastrophic
global warming, I can't think of more than a dozen in Australia
who'd dare do the same.
And I can think of even fewer journalists who'd back them if
they did. That's why Flannery is still treated as a hero of
the ABC and The Age, despite a string of predictions that should
have made him a laughing stock, not 2007 Australian of the Year.
Here's a condensed list.
Three years ago he warned global warming could leave Sydney's
dam's dry by 2007. They are two thirds full.
Perth would be so devastated by drought that it would be a
"ghost city" in decades. In fact, the city has just
recorded its wettest April on record.
The ice caps would melt so fast that the seas would lap the
roofs of "an eight-storey building". In fact, the
United Nations' influential IPCC, itself accused of alarmism,
says at worst the seas will rise this century by 59cm.
Hurricanes would become more frequent. In fact, the long-term
trend of hurricanes and cyclones is highly disputed, as is any
link to warming.
The hype pushing the global warming scare is the most sustained
assault on reason in my lifetime. While Flannery remains a prophet,
the rational should tremble, even before he starts firing sulphur
into our sky.